Sunday, September 11, 2005

Ken Not Magic Bullet

If we are to believe the polls, quite a few party members seem to have been won over by Ken's proposition that he is our electoral magic bullet. A very compelling notion in these troubled times.

Unfortunately a poll in today's Independent puts paid to it. The poll pitched Clarke against Brown, and under the headline "Clarke would do worse than Howard", the Indie reports:

"44 per cent said Labour and 25 per cent Conservative...Clarke failed to outscore Mr Brown in any age group, trailing by 44 percentage points among 18 to 24-year-olds and doing best, only one point behind, in the 55-64 age group. Significantly, Mr Brown polled well across all social classes, including AB professionals, among whom he enjoyed an 18-point lead. These findings suggest that Mr Clarke's opposition to the Iraq war would do little to attract Labour supporters who reluctantly voted Labour or Liberal Democrat last time or who stayed at home."

Yes, I know, polls schmolls.

But that is precisely why we should not elect our leader on the basis of one or other 0.00001% sample poll that reckons it's found us a magic bullet. We're still at least four years away from the next real poll, and we must make our own judgements about the candidates.


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