Saturday, June 11, 2005

Punters for Davis

Not much to pick up today, so I've taken a scroll through some of the recent comments on politicalbetting.

The great thing of course is that you have no real idea who these punters are. Some imply inside knowledge, but they may just be sad old guys in pyjamas tapping away in the hope of finding some friends. Like me.

Anyway, Rik W, who purports to be Richard Willis, the unsuccessful Tory candidate for Sutton and Cheam, says that based on what he hears and his gut feeling, there will be four runners:

'David Davis will be backed by Cameron, Osbourne, Willetts, Fox,
Rifkind... backed by Clarke, Ancram and Yeo
Duncan - will stand – will be backed by Bercow
May - will stand – she will argue that the party needs a woman to stand


The latter two will be knocked out early and the run off will be between Davis and Rifkind. That’s where it gets interesting. It will be much closer than expected as May will probably back Rifkind whereas Duncan will back Davis.'

Hmm. Not sure about May standing, although we suspect he's right about Ken and Little David.

He adds:

'Contrary to what some think Davis is more in tune with the new intake of younger MPs than some of the old guard. Davis will surprise you all once he declares about his openness to new thinking. Cameron and Osborne will be his praetorian guard.'

Which sounds spot on.

And for what it's worth, Sophia reports:

'On This Week (that Andrew Neill programme), Michael Portillo and Diane Abbott both said that it was an absolute certainty that David Davis would be crowned (with acclaim) leader of the Tories.'

So much for Miguel's support for Duncan. Although in fairness to M, he has also pointed out that DD 'just might turn out to be a Trojan horse for the reformers'.
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